Regression Analysis — Validation

Validation, or more specifically, cross-validation is a method of assessing how well the regression can be generalized.

One approach it to retain a portion of the original data for validation purposes and use the rest to construct the model. Once the model is finalized, the estimated parameters are used to predict the out-of-sample data.

The model’s validity may be assessed by comparing the out-of-sample mean squared error (the mean squared prediction error), with the in-sample mean square error. If the out-of-sample mean squared error is substantially higher, that would imply deficiency in the model’s ability to predict.

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