Sales Decomposition and Due-To Analysis — Market Response Modelling


Sales Decomposition provides understanding of the contribution of each element in the promo mix.

Exhibit 35.16   Sales decomposition provides understanding of the contribution of each element in the promo mix.

Due-to analysis - promotions evaluation

Exhibit 35.17   Due-to analysis for a brand.

Marketing mix Models use statistical analysis to decompose sales into the baseline and each of the factors driving sales. For instance, Exhibit 35.16, which pertains to a promotions evaluation analysis, illustrates the incremental gains arising from price discounts, banded packs, displays, cooperative advertising and competitive effects.

Once the sales are decomposed, a ‘Due-to’ analysis, such as the one shown in Exhibit 35.17, can be performed to reveals the impact of each element of the marketing mix on year-on-year sales. The chart reveals the incremental shifts in volume due to causal factors, as well as the shifts in base volume due to regular price, advertising and distribution.


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