The pricing of a new product is crucial to its success
and should be approached with careful consideration of both marketing and financial factors.
From the marketing standpoint, the decision relates to the brand’s positioning
and marketing strategy. In crafting that strategy, the brand manager must have a good
understanding of the trade-off between price and sales volume, and how that impacts on profits.
Techniques discussed so far are not suitable for revealing the relationship between price and volume
for new products. Van Westendorp’s Price Sensitivity Meter, which works for new products where no obvious benchmarks or
competitor equivalents exist, provides a framework for determining the acceptable price range for such products. It does
not, however, reveal the price-volume relationship.
Importantly, for FMCG products where repeat purchase is the norm, we need
assessment not only for the trial purchases, but also the repeat purchases.
For consumer durables, we need to account for the perceived risk in buying
an unknown product. (Since FMCG products cost less, the fear of buyer remorse is less pronounced.
Moreover,it can be alleviated by launching smaller packs or by offering free samples).
Some of the abovementioned complexities can be addressed through
simulated test markets (STM). These
techniques described in Chapter Product Validation, can be suitably adapted to study the
relationship between price and volume for new FMCG products.
In a typical STM, the price is set prior to the study and included in the concept board.
This is not of much use for price testing where we need responses over a price range.
One adaptation, adopted by BASES Price Advisor, exposes consumers to the new concept without the selling price,
and asks them to suggest the price at which the product would be “very good value”, “average value”, and “somewhat poor value”.
Consumers are then interviewed on the BASES measures for each of these volunteered price points. Their response
at each price point is modelled into a single volume-based measure at the respondent level and aggregated across all price points
to yield the relationship between price and volume.
This is expensive because a major portion of the STM exercise is repeated
over three price points, and a larger sample would be required to ensure accuracy.
In addition, from a pricing research perspective, the approach is relatively
weak as it does not take into account the context of competing products.
Exhibit 16.14 Indifference price point is the price where the number of
respondents who regard the price as attractive is equal to the respondents who regard the
price as expensive.
An alternative approach to consider is a combination
of STM (Simulated Test Market) and DCM (Discrete Choice Modelling). Specifically:
- STM concept phase to exclude price from the concept board, and to amend the question on purchase intent
to include the phrase “… if priced within your budget”.
- Gauge price perceptions over fixed price points: “Select the closest price at which you would consider
the product to be:
- attractively priced (moving from maximum to minimum price),
- expensive (moving from minimum to maximum price).”
- All respondents, even those who indicates they will not try, are given the product for trial.
- After the new product has been tried, purchase intent is gauged at the
indifference price point or
at the preferred selling price, if this has been set by the brand’s management team.
- The indifference price (refer Exhibit 16.14) is the price where the number of respondents
who regard the price as attractive is equal to the respondents who regard the price as expensive.
- The discrete choice modelling price test is conducted after respondents have tried the product, and
their purchase intent has been gauged.
Note: This approach has yet to be tried and tested.
The advantage is that DCM is a rigorous, proven pricing test. However,
it is likely to be expensive because this is essentially a two-in-one study.